We have officially crossed 20+ Units on the year!

UFC Edmonton had plenty of interesting spots, and we should have been more aggressive, but we’ll take our +2.41 Units with a smile and head into UFC 333 hungry to keep the bankroll growing.

UFC 333 is a massive step up in terms of quality fights, with two title fights on the line. In the main event, Alexander Volkanovski will defend his UFC featherweight title against Movsar Evloev. In the co-main event, Petr Yan squares off against Merab Dvalishvili in a highly anticipated trilogy fight.

The rest of the card is absolutely stacked, so let’s take a look at the main card, and don’t forget to check back later in the week for our UFC 333 best bets!

UFC 333 Main Card Breakdown

Aaron Pico

1.86

1.95

Losene Keita

Aaron Pico enters this featherweight clash as an elite wrestling powerhouse possessing devastating, body-shot-heavy knockout power. Built on a world-class freestyle wrestling foundation, Pico excels at explosive double-leg takedowns with sharp, rip-to-the-body boxing combinations. While his aggressive, high-risk style has exposed chin durability issues, his evolved distance control, tactical patient entries, and oppressive top-control grappling make him a complete physical force in open space and on the mat.

Losene Keita brings razor-sharp hand speed, dynamic footwork, and elite counter-striking credentials into the cage. The two-division regional champion relies on rapid-fire boxing blitzes, fast lateral movement, and devastating upper-body hooks. While his defensive wrestling and grappling off his back remain his biggest issues against elite grapplers, Keita’s explosive scrambles and knockout precision allow him to turn any exchange in a fraction of a second.

The contest features an explosive clash between Pico’s multi-level wrestling-and-power game and Keita’s lightning-fast counter-striking. Keita’s clearest path to victory is utilizing his lateral movement and speed to keep the fight in space, picking Pico apart with straight counters as he tries to close the distance. However, Pico’s high-level wrestling pedigree, relentless body shots, and smothering top position give him the tactical edge to drag Keita to the canvas, break his rhythm, and secure a ground-and-pound stoppage or hard-fought decision win.

Alexander Volkov

1.80

2.05

Rizvan Kuniev

Alexander Volkov enters this heavyweight matchup boasting a massive 6’7″ frame, superior 80-inch reach, and high-volume, technical kickboxing. He uses crisp straight punches, long front snap kicks, and high-volume combinations. Volkov excels at keeping shorter power punchers on the end of his strikes. While his grappling and takedown defense were major vulnerabilities early in his career, his defensive wrestling and guard work have improved substantially, making him a difficult target to hold down.

Rizvan Kuniev brings a grinding Dagestani wrestling foundation, heavy top control, and reliable durability. The former M-1 champion thrives when he can push high-paced physical pressure, crowd strikers against the fence, and land heavy level changes to enforce ground-and-pound. However, his main challenge is closing massive range gaps without absorbing damaging straight shots, and maintaining his gas tank over three rounds.

Volkov vs. Gane 2: Александр Волков vs Сирил Ган 2 | Полный бой

The tactical battle pits Volkov’s elite range management and distance volume against Kuniev’s aggressive entry-wrestling and clinch work. Kuniev’s clearest route to victory is ducking under Volkov’s straight hands, relying on heavy cage work, and using mat control to neutralize the tall kickboxer’s output. However, Volkov’s superior length, sharp jab-teep combinations, and proven defensive wrestling edge should allow him to stop Kuniev’s entries, keep the fight in space, and pick the Russian grappler apart for a late-round stoppage or clear decision win.

Lone’er Kavanagh

1.90

Ramazonbek Temirov

Lone’er Kavanagh is a dynamic, explosive striker known for his lightning-quick speed, fluid movement, and highlight-reel finishing. The British prospect excels in open space, leveraging long-range kickboxing, precise lateral exits, and sudden entry combinations to catch opponents stepping in. While his physical tools and high-level movement make him a constant threat at distance, his defense against physical, persistent forward pressure and grinding cage work remains his primary point of vulnerability.

Ramazan Temirov brings explosive power, relentless forward pressure, and heavy pocket-boxing fundamentals. Riding an impressive winning streak with devastating knockout capability, the Uzbek fighter excels at closing the distance quickly, smothering his opponent’s movement, and landing lethal hooks and uppercuts. While his aggressive, high-potency approach makes him extremely dangerous early, his reliance on continuous pocket exchanges can leave defensive gaps against sharp counter-strikers who can escape his initial blitzes.

The stylistic clash sets up an intense battle between Kavanagh’s perimeter footwork and Temirov’s aggressive forward pressure. Temirov’s clearest path to victory is cutting off the cage early, forcing Kavanagh against the cage, and turning the bout into a high-damage pocket brawl. However, Kavanagh’s superior lateral movement, dynamic kickboxing range, and sharp counter-punching give him the tactical edge to manage the distance, pick Temirov apart on entries, and earn a late stoppage or hard-fought decision win.

Petr Yan

1.90

2.36

Merab Dvalishvili

Petr Yan enters this championship rubber match as one of the most complete technical strikers and defensive tacticians. Known for his elite high-guard defense, incredible in-cage IQ, and devastating pocket counter-boxing, Yan relies on sharp trip defense, punishing body shots, and tight boxing combinations. His ability to neutralize takedown attempts, adjust mid-fight, and force heavy damage in open space allows him to control high-level five-round contests.

Merab Dvalishvili operates with unprecedented cardiovascular conditioning, relentless chain-wrestling, and non-stop pace. Dvalishvili thrives when he keeps opponents on their back foot, unleashing endless takedown entries, heavy clinch work, and continuous pressure to prevent any rhythm in open space. While his open-space striking defense can be vulnerable to heavy straight counters, his unmatched volume and physical pressure make him a constant threat to wear down even the top grapplers.

The trilogy pits Yan’s surgical counter-boxing and defense against Dvalishvili’s unrelenting pace and wrestling entries. Dvalishvili’s clearest path to victory relies on making the fight chaotic, grinding against the fence, smothering Yan’s boxing range, and accumulating control time over five rounds. However, Yan’s superior takedown defense, precise straight counters, and ability to land heavy damage on entries give him the tactical edge to stuff the wrestler’s shots, keep the fight in space, and pick Dvalishvili apart to secure a championship victory.

Alexander Volkanovski

1.92

1.89

Movsar Evloev

Alexander Volkanovski enters this featherweight championship contest as one of the most complete and dominant champions in the division’s history. Utilizing rapid footwork, high-volume jab management, and exceptional feints, Volkanovski excels at dictating range and breaking down opponents. His elite takedown defense, scrambling ability, and heavy low kicks make him exceptionally difficult to control on the ground or press along the fence over five rounds.

Movsar Evloev comes into the title fight as an undefeated contender driven by relentless chain-wrestling, suffocating top control, and non-stop physical pressure. At 20-0, Evloev thrives when he can smother opposing strikers, time level changes, and drag fights to the mat to accumulate heavy control time. While his open-space striking continues to develop with sharp straight punches, his primary asset is his cardio and ability to chain takedowns relentlessly across all rounds.

The main event comes down to Volkanovski’s all-around championship distance control and Evloev’s relentless wrestling volume. Evloev needs to force a grueling, wall-to-wall wrestling contest, denying Volkanovski open space, and grinding out top control on the canvas. However, Volkanovski’s superior striking accuracy, world-class defensive wrestling, and proven 25-minute championship pacing give him the edge to stuff Evloev’s entries, control distance, and secure a decision win.

UFC 333 Best Bets

2025 Total Units Won: +29.97 Units

2026 Record: 87-97-1 +22.19 Units

(All Bets 1 Unit Unless Specified)

Alexander Volkov to Win @ 1.85 (1.5 Units)

Alexander Volkov is a tactical heavyweight with fantastic range striking and improving takedown defense. Rizvan Kuniev will try to wrestle, at least he should, and if he can’t land takedowns or keep Volkov against the fence, this could be a surgical, veteran performance from Volkov. This line is way too good to pass up.

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev to Win via KO in Round 1 or 2 @ 1.80 (1.5 Units)

Nikita Krylov is on his last legs. He’s had one good moment recently, but outside of that, it’s been a tough run. Many are questioning why he’s taking this fight, and for good reason. Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev is regarded as a real contender, and his recent success proves that. He should be able to start fast and land big shots, and with the first-round finish getting bet heavily, the second-round insurance is a safer look.

Azamat Murzakanov to Win via KO in Round 1 or 2 @ 2.10

Dominick Reyes has questionable durability, and his last fight wasn’t the best example of that. It was one of the most boring fights of the year, and he avoided any real damage. Against Azamat Murzakanov, it’s a different story. Murzakanov is coming off a loss against Paulo Costa, where he was ground out early and finished later. He should start fast, land the heavier shots, and find a way to get Reyes out within two rounds.

Asaf Chapurov to Finish / Abubakar Vagaev to Win @ 2.61

Asaf Chapurov is an exciting prospect with very real power. Colby Thicknesse has been rocked before, and this will be a tough puzzle to solve. Chapurov has solid finishing upside against a fighter who has struggled with durability.

Abubakar Vagaev gets Jacob Malkoun, and it’s hard to trust Malkoun after his previous fights. His best performances have come against fringe UFC competition, and Vagaev will bring an elite combination of pressure and wrestling that will force Malkoun into uncomfortable spots. It’s hard to see him finding success anywhere in this fight.

Daniel Santos-Bolaji Oki Fight to End via KO @ 1.90

This is an interesting fight where people are on both sides. Both fighters can be finished, and Oki is moving down in weight after being finished multiple times in recent fights. Oki has real power and could find a finish early in the fight, but the cardio and durability present an interesting opportunity for Santos. This fight should end in a knockout.

UFC 333 is a breath of fresh air after the last couple of UFC cards. While there have been plenty of finishes, this card features much higher-level fighters and fantastic matchups across the board. This could likely be the best card for the rest of the year, so don’t miss out.

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