UFC 332 could have been a massive card for us. Ateba Gautier did not live up to the hype and cost us a great parlay. Even with the loss, we come away with another winning card and now look to UFC Vegas 122.
UFC Vegas 122 features a main event between Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan. Both fighters are hoping to enter the title picture, and it’s a classic case of perennial contender against a fresh face at the top of the division. In the co-main event, Matheus Camillo and Jai Herbert do battle in what should be a classic grappler vs. striker bout.
Let’s take a look at the main card, and don’t forget to check back later in the week for our UFC Vegas 122 best bets.
UFC Vegas 122 Main Card Breakdown
Malcolm Wellmaker
1.43
2.90
Otari Tanzilovi
Malcolm Wellmaker enters this bantamweight matchup looking to rebound after back-to-back tough outings, bringing dangerous switch-stance striking and legitimate one-punch knockout power. Holding explosive speed and razor-sharp long-range counters, he thrives when he can dictate the distance and catch advancing opponents in open space. However, his aggressive striking entries and lower takedown defense percentage can leave him vulnerable.
Otari Tanzilovi is a multiple-time Georgian national kickboxing and boxing champion who brings elite technical striking, heavy body attacks, and stout takedown defense. Tanzilovi operates with sharp hand speed, lethal left liver kicks, and a tight kickboxing foundation. While he possesses relentless early-finish capabilities, he struggles with one-punch counter striking.
The contest features an electric battle of high-level strikers where timing and distance control will dictate the outcome. Tanzilovi’s best path to victory is utilizing his kickboxing combinations and devastating body strikes to wear down Wellmaker’s mobility and force exchanges inside the pocket. However, Wellmaker’s length, switch-stance counters, and explosive power give him the tactical edge to catch an oncoming Tanzilovi, making a high-impact counter knockout or clear decision win his most probable path forward.
Andre Fili
1.61
2.36
Kai Kamaka III
Andre Fili enters this clash as a long-time veteran known for dynamic range striking, fluid switch-stance offense, and aggressive, fan-friendly style. Standing 5’11” with a 74-inch reach, Fili excels at fighting on the outside with crisp jabs, long combinations, and high kicks. While his physical tools and offensive output remain dangerous, his defensive lapses and willingness to trade in open space can expose him to heavy counters.
Kai Kamaka III brings high-volume boxing, relentless grit, and continuous forward pressure to the cage. He operates best inside the pocket, utilizing fast multi-punch combinations, sharp body shots, and reactive takedowns to break his opponent’s rhythm. Though he gives up notable height and reach, Kamaka’s durable chin and high-paced volume allow him to march forward and make every exchange chaotic.
The contest centers on distance management and spatial control between Fili’s length and Kamaka’s pressure. Kamaka’s clearest path to victory is to cut off the cage, smother Fili’s range with high-volume boxing combinations, and mix in timely takedowns. However, Fili’s superior reach, sharp straight counters, and range management should let him pick Kamaka apart on entries, making a hard-fought decision or late-round stoppage his most likely outcome.
Lupita Godinez
1.44
2.85
Ketlen Souza
Lupita Godinez enters this strawweight matchup relying on her relentless chain-wrestling foundation, aggressive top control, and high-volume boxing. A former wrestling standout, Godinez thrives when she can push opponents against the fence, secure heavy level changes, and drag fights to the canvas to enforce a smothering pace. While her willingness to engage in boxing trades can occasionally expose her to range counters, her durability and continuous pressure make her a constant threat over three rounds.
Ketlen Souza brings dynamic Muay Thai kickboxing, rapid footwork, and dangerous distance strikes to the Octagon. Souza excels when maintaining open-space range, using fast low leg kicks and sharp punch combinations to score while keeping aggressive pursuers at bay. Her main challenge in this matchup hinges on her takedown defense and ability to survive prolonged grappling sequences off her back without giving up dominant positions.
The contest presents a classic striker-versus-grappler dynamic where space and control will dictate the victor. Souza’s best path to victory is using lateral footwork and precise counter-striking to deny Godinez’s entries and force a kickboxing battle at distance. However, Godinez’s relentless wrestling pedigree and superior physical control along the cage give her the tactical edge, making a wrestling-heavy decision or ground-control win her most probable route forward.
Matheus Camillo
1.50
2.64
Jai Herbert
Matheus Camillo enters this lightweight clash as a rising Brazilian prospect known for his opportunistic submission skills, durable wrestling, and aggressive grappling exchanges. Operating with constant forward pressure, Camillo excels when he can drag opponents into scrambles, establish top control, and threaten submissions on the mat. While his striking defense and pacing continue to develop, his physical strength and relentless grappling make him a constant threat when the fight hits the canvas.
Jai Herbert relies on his long 77-inch reach, crisp kickboxing fundamentals, and dangerous range striking to control fights. Fighting out of a tall, upright stance, Herbert excels at firing straight punches, heavy body kicks, and knee counters as opponents attempt to close the distance. However, his history of defensive lapses under high pressure and susceptibility to heavy ground control leave him vulnerable against dedicated grapplers who bypass his reach.
The matchup presents a clear striker-versus-grappler dynamic where range and spatial management dictate the path to victory. Herbert’s best route involves using his length and straight counter-shots to keep Camillo at bay on the outside and catch the Brazilian coming in. However, Camillo’s relentless pressure and superior grappling credentials give him the tactical edge to close the distance, force mat scrambles, and secure a submission or ground-control decision win.
Brendan Allen
1.67
2.24
Christian Leroy Duncan
Brendan Allen enters this middleweight clash as an established contender relying on a dangerous black-belt submission game, opportunistic back-takes, and relentless grappling control. Known for dragging fights into wild ground exchanges where he can snatch rear-naked chokes, Allen pairs his mat skills with an evolving, high-volume jab-and-kick game on the feet. While his striking defense can occasionally leave openings against sharp punchers, his physical strength and veteran submission threats make him a constant finish hazard.
Christian Leroy Duncan brings fluid switch-stance striking, dynamic long-range kicks, and explosive athleticism. Boasting a long 79-inch reach and slick movement, the former Cage Warriors champion excels at picking opponents apart from the outside and unleashing unorthodox spinning strikes. While his technical kickboxing shines in open space, maintaining posture and avoiding getting pinned along the fence against persistent, heavy grapplers remains his primary concern.
The contest presents another striker-versus-grappler dynamic where distance management dictates the outcome. Duncan’s best route to victory relies on utilizing his long reach, lateral footwork, and precise counters to keep Allen at bay. However, Allen’s superior grappling pedigree, grinding mat pressure, and ability to force scrambles give him the tactical edge to drag Duncan to the canvas and secure a submission or ground-heavy decision win.
UFC Vegas 122 Best Bets
- 2025 Total Units Won: +29.97 Units
- 2026 Record: 77-91-1 +18.20 Units
(Every bet is 1 Unit unless specified)
(Coming soon…)
It’s no secret: this is one of the worst cards of the year. After the UFC put on a couple of solid cards over the last few weeks, this card is a massive fall from grace. However, there are plenty of solid matchups that will dictate UFC careers. There are fighters on this card who are at risk of losing their roster spot, so that should make for exciting fights between hungry fighters.
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