Well, we did it!
Despite the lackluster UFC 329 main event, we went perfect on our bets! We went 6–0 overall for +5.5983 Units and are now back in the green at +0.2583 Units. It took us some time to find a groove, but we’re finally hitting our stride and now look to UFC Oklahoma City to continue our winning run.
UFC Oklahoma City features a high-level fight between Dricus Du Plessis and Kamaru Usman. Both fighters are at different points in their career, but they have something to prove. In the co-main event, Christian Leroy Duncan is also trying to prove he belongs at the top of the division by taking on Jared Cannonier. Here’s a look at the UFC Oklahoma City main card, and don’t forget to check back later in the week for our best bets.
UFC Oklahoma City Main Card Breakdown
Tabatha Ricci
4.10
1.25
Fatima Kline
Tabatha Ricci’s UFC career has been respectable. She’s 7-4 with losses to top contenders. She lost her last fight to Virna Jandiroba via decision, but finished Amanda Ribas before that. She doesn’t have the most powerful strikes or imposing style, but she can grind out wins and look for opportunities to win minutes. She’s strong, likes to wrestle, and hasn’t been finished since 2021. She’ll be in the UFC for a while, but her trajectory has shifted drastically as she’s taken on better competition.
Fatima Kline is becoming one of the top female prospects in the UFC. She lost her UFC debut against Jasmine Jasudavicius, but she had her moments. She’s 3-0 since then and finished two of three fights. Angela Hill is her best career win, and she’s always been a tough fighter to finish. She’s just 26 years old, but entered the UFC as the Cage Fury double champion and was 4-0 in Invicta FC. She is a solid grappler, but her striking is just as impressive, and her length allows her to dictate the distance and pace.
This is just a bad matchup for Ricci. She stepped in for Ribas in this fight, with a chip on her shoulder, but it’s going to be hard for her to find any success. She thrives on getting in the pocket, working her clinch, and landing strikes. With a six-inch reach disadvantage, it will be hard for Ricci to get in tight, and Kline will do everything in her power to keep it at range for as long as she wants. While Ricci should have some wrestling upside, Kline’s grappling could come into play, and it will be interesting to see if she’s able to control Ricci on the ground. Given the striking gap, size difference, and overall skill, Kline looks like one of the best favorites to back heading into UFC Oklahoma City.
Tommy McMillen
1.80
2.05
Alberto Montes
Tommy McMillen is a wild fighter who is already turning heads in the UFC. Is there room for improvement? Definitely, but in an era where excitement and fun fights drive the market, McMillen is on a fast track to becoming a star in the UFC.
His fights aren’t easy, including this one, but he’s found ways to overcome adversity and come away with victories. He’s 10-0 overall and finished his UFC debut in the first round. He was close to being submitted on the Dana White Contender Series, but he held his own and took over in the later rounds. He has a solid size advantage at featherweight and will likely maintain a reach advantage against most opponents.
Alberto Montes is no walk in the park. He is 11-1 overall and has a nasty collection of front chokes that we already saw in his UFC debut. He finished Ricky Turcios in the first round with a d’Arce choke, and he finished his DWCS fight via a second-round Anaconda choke as well. We know the submission skills are there, but his only career loss is via second-round knockout, and we haven’t seen how well his striking has transitioned to the UFC. He has just one win via knockout, and the jury is still out on his completeness as an MMA fighter.
The public is all over the Montes’ submission right now. Listening to all the MMA handicappers right now, the belief is that McMillen’s performances have left him open. At the same time, McMillen should be a much better striker, and it’s very clear what he needs to avoid. Montes will be hunting for those front chokes, but we’ve seen solid defense from McMillen in the past, and this fight should be wide open if Montes can’t find the neck. Even though he’s the favorite, it seems like the public is underrating McMillen after his wild few fights with the UFC.
Chase Hooper
1.28
3.80
Mitch Ramirez
Chase Hooper is in a weird place right now. He was brought into the UFC at such a young age, but his skills just weren’t there. He was considered a grappling prodigy, making it to the highest level of MMA on only that, but his striking needed work. He lost almost every fight against veterans, and he had the displeasure of fighting Steve Garcia at just 22 years old. He’s still 8-5 in the UFC after ripping off a few wins, but he’s lost his last two via first-round knockout. To be an effective grappler in MMA, you need solid wrestling as well, and Hooper sometimes finds himself in a brawl before he can get the fight to the ground. At just 26 years old, he has time, but it has to start with his next fight if he wants to turn things around.
Mitch Ramirez is 0-2 in the UFC and 8-3 overall. He was undefeated before entering the UFC, and his losses are against stiff competition. He lost his UFC debut to Carlos Prates, his third UFC fight to Thiago Moises, and his most recent fight to Mike Davis via knockout. He’s only ever been to a decision once, which he won, but he’s otherwise a kill–or–be–killed fighter. His 37% striking defense is a problem, and his 25% takedown defense will be an even bigger problem in this one.
Hooper needs a win. The UFC is giving him a fighter much further down the rankings compared to his previous fights, and the hope is that he can get back to his winning ways. He’s an exciting grappler with improved striking, but there are only so many losses you can take in the UFC. He needs to start finding better entries to get the fight to the ground and employ his elite ground game. Given Ramirez’s struggles across the board, Hooper could look to strike in this one as well, but it makes too much sense to make Ramirez work for space and take the fight to the ground. Ramirez needs to make this a war. The tape shows that Hooper can get cracked and overwhelmed easily, and that is by far the best path to victory for Ramirez. It’s hard to see Hooper losing this fight, but it wouldn’t be the first time he drops the ball.
Jared Cannonier
3.70
1.29
Christian Leroy Duncan
Jared Cannonier is on the tail end of his career, but he’s a proven veteran with wins over the division’s best, including the champion. He’s now in a gatekeeper role against rising stars in the middleweight division after going 2-3 in his last five fights. The biggest differences from his earlier fights are the durability and cardio. He isn’t able to eat shots as well as he used to, and we saw Nassourdine Imavov take full advantage of that. His fight against Gregory Rodrigues was a blast from the past, when he had higher output, better footwork, and good cardio. It’s hard to do that against Michael Page, and he lost his last fight via decision.
Christian Leroy Duncan is getting his biggest test to date after ripping off four straight wins. He is a good counter-striker with a strong jab and great combinations. He’s able to pick his shots well and doesn’t rush his approach. He’s finished five of his seven UFC wins via knockout, and he looked solid in his decision win over Roman Dolidze last time out. The glaring hole in his game is when Rodrigues was able to land the more powerful shots and change levels well. Duncan’s takedown defense is improving, and that’s the most important part of his development right now.
The odds for this fight are a little too wide. Cannonier is at the tail end of his career, but he’s still fighting some of the best fighters in the UFC. He’s had mixed results, but the moment he took on a lower-ranked fighter, he came out on top. His style warrants high pressure and good counters, but with age, it becomes harder to perform at the highest level. Duncan is basically a younger version of the same fighter, and he’ll use his length and accuracy to land the better shots, hoping for an opportunity to finish the fight. It would be nice to see Cannonier mix it up, look for takedowns, and keep Duncan guessing. It’s probably his best path to victory, but it will be hard to pull it off.
Dricus Du Plessis
1.43
2.90
Kamaru Usman
We haven’t seen Dricus Du Plessis since his loss to Khamzat Chimaev last August. It’s been almost a year, and it’s clear what Du Plessis needs to work on to be a better MMA fighter. That was his first loss in the UFC, and he’s 9-1 overall with the promotion. His power is real, his style is unique, and he’s always found ways to stay in the fight. Chimaev was the first fighter to give Du Plessis no chance at stealing minutes. Du Plessis seems hungry to prove he has improved as a wrestler, and this is the perfect fight to do so.
Kamaru Usman is a once-a-year-type fighter at this point in his career, but he’s still fighting the best fighters in the UFC. He’s 16-3 in the UFC, and most recently beat Joaquin Buckley via decision. What stands out from that fight is that, after dominating the early rounds, Buckley found some success late. Before the Buckley fight, Usman went 0-3 against Chimaev and Leon Edwards twice. It’s no secret that Usman is on the tail end of his career, but he’s getting an opportunity against a recent champion to prove he still belongs at the top.
This fight comes down to how much Du Plessis has improved as a wrestler. While Chimaev brings far more entries and takedowns to the table, Usman is still a great chain wrestler who will look for single and double-legs if he’s struggling on the feet. Given the seven-year age difference and the massive power edge on the Du Plessis side, it’s hard to pick against the South African, but he has a lot to prove after his last fight.
UFC Oklahoma City Best Bets
2025 Total Units Won: +29.97 Units
2026 Record: 47-65-1, +0.2583 Units
Tommy McMillen ML / Fatima Kline ML / Dricus Du Plessis ML Parlay @ 2.77 (0.5 Units)
Tommy McMillen is getting his toughest test yet, but if he can avoid the front chokes, he can turn this into a war and maybe land a finish of his own.
Fatima Kline is getting a solid one-dimensional opponent where she can use her striking to do damage, and take the fight to the ground when she needs to.
Du Plessis has a lot to prove, and this will be the perfect fight to show that he learned something after the way he lost ot Khamzat Chimaev. There’s a big size different with Usman as well.
Dione Barbosa via Submission @ 2.20
Dione Barbosa is taking on Anna Melisano on short notice, and the newcomer is fighting up in weight. We saw her struggle on the ground on The Ultimate Fighter, and I expect Barbosa to spam takedowns and dominate the fight on the ground.
Chase Hooper via Submission @ 2.50
This is the last time we take a chance on Hooper. He needs to grapple, plain and simple. He’s lost almost every fight where he tries to stand and bang, but now his career is on the line, and he should look for takedowns regularly and control on the ground.
UFC Oklahoma City is a significant step away from UFC 329, but with some prospects and former champions, there is still potential for a fun card. Plenty of fighters on this card are hoping to make a splash for the remainder of 2026, and a big win in OKC will do just that.
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